Friday, March 1, 2019
United States Dollar and Arbitrage Opportunity
 5 Questions 2. What is the difference between the retail or client   grocery store and the  in large quantities or inter  desire market for foreign  permutation? 3. Who  ar the market participants in the foreign  supersede market? 5. What is meant by a currency business at a discount or at a  grant in the forward market? 6. Why does most interbank currency  merchandise worldwide involve the U. S.  buck? 7. Banks find it necessary to accommodate their clients  needfully to buy or sell FX forward, in many instances for hedging purposes.How  good deal the bank eliminate the currency exposure it has created for itself by accommodating a clients forward transaction? 8. A CD/$ bank trader is currently quoting a small figure bid-ask of 35-40, when the rest of the market is  craft at CD1. 3436-CD1. 3441. What is implied about the traders beliefs by his prices? 9. What is   angular arbitrage? What is a condition that will give rise to a triangular arbitrage opportunity? Problems 1. Using the    Ameri evict term quotes from  expose 5. , calculate a cross-rate matrix for the euro, Swiss franc, Japanese yen, and the British  confiscate so that the resulting triangular matrix is similar to the portion above the  prejudice in  break 5. 6. 4. Restate the  undermentioned one-, three-, and six-month outright forward European term bid-ask quotes in forward points. Spot1. 3431-1. 3436 One- month1. 3432-1. 3442 Three- month1. 3448-1. 3463 Six- month1. 3488-1. 3508 8. A bank is quoting the  next exchange rates against the  long horse for the Swiss franc and the Australian dollar SFr/$ = 1. 5960-70 A$/$ = 1. 7225-35An Australian firm asks the bank for an A$/SFr quote. What cross-rate would the bank quote? 9. Given the following information, what  be the NZD/SGD currency against currency bid-ask quotations? Ameri tin TermsEuropean Terms Bank QuotationsBidAskBidAsk  untested Zealand dollar . 7265 . 72721. 37511. 3765 Singapore dollar . 6135 . 61401. 62871. 6300 10. Doug Bernard speciali   zes in cross-rate arbitrage. He  happens the following quotes Swiss franc/dollar = SFr1. 5971? $ Australian dollar/U. S. dollar = A$1. 8215/$ Australian dollar/Swiss franc = A$1. 1440/SFrIgnoring transaction costs, does Doug Bernard have an arbitrage opportunity establish on these quotes? If there is an arbitrage opportunity, what steps would he take to  incur an arbitrage profit, and how would he profit if he has $1,000,000 available for this purpose. 11. Assume you  atomic number 18 a trader with Deutsche Bank. From the quote screen on your computer terminal, you  come upon that Dresdner Bank is quoting 0. 7627/$1. 00 and Credit Suisse is offering SF1. 1806/$1. 00. You learn that UBS is making a  steer market between the Swiss franc and the euro, with a current /SF quote of . 6395.Show how you  back end  take a shit a triangular arbitrage profit by  concern at these prices. (Ignore bid-ask spreads for this problem. ) Assume you have $5,000,000 with which to conduct the arbitrage.    What happens if you initially sell dollars for Swiss francs? What /SF price will eliminate triangular arbitrage?  Operations  oversight Assignment 1 Due Date1 April 2013 Q1. David Upton is president of Upton Manufacturing, a producer of Go-Kart tires. Upton makes 1000 tires per    twenty-four hour periodtimetime with the following resources Labor 400 hours per  sidereal day  12. 5 per hour Raw material 20000  strikes per day  $1 per poundEnergy $5000 per day Capital cost $10000 per day (a) What is the labor productivity per labor-hour for these tires at Upton Manufacturing? (b) What is the multifactor productivity for these tires at Upton Manufacturing? (c) What is the multifactor productivity if Upton can reduce the energy  distinction by $1000 per day without cutting production or  ever-changing any other inputs? Q2. The monthly sales for Telco Batteries, Inc. were as follows calendar month Sales Jan 20 Feb 21 Mar 15 Apr 14  may 13 June 16 July 17 Aug 18 Sep 20 Oct 20 Nov 21 Dec 2   3 Forecast January Sales using  to  apiece one of the following ) A 3  month moving average b) A 6  month weighted average using 0. 1, 0. 1, 0. 1, 0. 2, 0. 2 and 0. 3 with the heaviest weights applied to the most recent months. c) Exponential smoothing using an ? = 0. 3 and a September forecast of 18 d) A trend projection With the  information given, which method would allow you to forecast next March sales? Q3. Income at the law firm Smith and Wesson for he period February to July was as follows Month Feb Mar Apr  may June July Income 70. 0 68. 5 64. 8 71. 7 71. 3 72. 8 (a) Use trend-adjusted exponential smoothing to forecast the law firms Aug income.Assume that the initial forecast for February is $65000, and the initial trend adjustment is 0. The smoothing constant selected  atomic number 18 ? =0. 1, and ? = 0. 2. (b) Resolve the problem with ? =0. 1, and ? = 0. 8. (c) Compute the MAD and MAPE. Which forecasting, part (a) and part (b) performs   cave in? Why? Q4. Attendance at Lo   s Angeless newest Disneylike attraction, Vacation World, has been as follows  hind end/year 2007 2008 2009 Winter 73 65 89 Spring 104 82 146 Summer 168 124 205 Fall 74 52 98 Compute  seasonal worker indices using all of the  data.United States Dollar and Arbitrage Opportunity 5 Questions 2. What is the difference between the retail or client market and the  in large quantities or interbank market for foreign exchange? 3. Who are the market participants in the foreign exchange market? 5. What is meant by a currency   traffic at a discount or at a  reward in the forward market? 6. Why does most interbank currency trading worldwide involve the U. S. dollar? 7. Banks find it necessary to accommodate their clients  demand to buy or sell FX forward, in many instances for hedging purposes.How can the bank eliminate the currency exposure it has created for itself by accommodating a clients forward transaction? 8. A CD/$ bank trader is currently quoting a small figure bid-ask of 35-40, when    the rest of the market is trading at CD1. 3436-CD1. 3441. What is implied about the traders beliefs by his prices? 9. What is triangular arbitrage? What is a condition that will give rise to a triangular arbitrage opportunity? Problems 1. Using the American term quotes from Exhibit 5. , calculate a cross-rate matrix for the euro, Swiss franc, Japanese yen, and the British pound so that the resulting triangular matrix is similar to the portion above the  shot in Exhibit 5. 6. 4. Restate the following one-, three-, and six-month outright forward European term bid-ask quotes in forward points. Spot1. 3431-1. 3436 One-Month1. 3432-1. 3442 Three-Month1. 3448-1. 3463 Six-Month1. 3488-1. 3508 8. A bank is quoting the following exchange rates against the dollar for the Swiss franc and the Australian dollar SFr/$ = 1. 5960-70 A$/$ = 1. 7225-35An Australian firm asks the bank for an A$/SFr quote. What cross-rate would the bank quote? 9. Given the following information, what are the NZD/SGD cu   rrency against currency bid-ask quotations? American TermsEuropean Terms Bank QuotationsBidAskBidAsk  bare-assed Zealand dollar . 7265 . 72721. 37511. 3765 Singapore dollar . 6135 . 61401. 62871. 6300 10. Doug Bernard specializes in cross-rate arbitrage. He notices the following quotes Swiss franc/dollar = SFr1. 5971? $ Australian dollar/U. S. dollar = A$1. 8215/$ Australian dollar/Swiss franc = A$1. 1440/SFrIgnoring transaction costs, does Doug Bernard have an arbitrage opportunity  found on these quotes? If there is an arbitrage opportunity, what steps would he take to make an arbitrage profit, and how would he profit if he has $1,000,000 available for this purpose. 11. Assume you are a trader with Deutsche Bank. From the quote screen on your computer terminal, you notice that Dresdner Bank is quoting 0. 7627/$1. 00 and Credit Suisse is offering SF1. 1806/$1. 00. You learn that UBS is making a  draw market between the Swiss franc and the euro, with a current /SF quote of . 6395.Sh   ow how you can make a triangular arbitrage profit by trading at these prices. (Ignore bid-ask spreads for this problem. ) Assume you have $5,000,000 with which to conduct the arbitrage. What happens if you initially sell dollars for Swiss francs? What /SF price will eliminate triangular arbitrage?  Operations  heed Assignment 1 Due Date1 April 2013 Q1. David Upton is president of Upton Manufacturing, a producer of Go-Kart tires. Upton makes 1000 tires per day with the following resources Labor 400 hours per day  12. 5 per hour Raw material 20000 pounds per day  $1 per poundEnergy $5000 per day Capital cost $10000 per day (a) What is the labor productivity per labor-hour for these tires at Upton Manufacturing? (b) What is the multifactor productivity for these tires at Upton Manufacturing? (c) What is the multifactor productivity if Upton can reduce the energy  bankers bill by $1000 per day without cutting production or changing any other inputs? Q2. The monthly sales for Telco Batte   ries, Inc. were as follows Month Sales Jan 20 Feb 21 Mar 15 Apr 14 May 13 June 16 July 17 Aug 18 Sep 20 Oct 20 Nov 21 Dec 23 Forecast January Sales using each of the following ) A 3  month moving average b) A 6  month weighted average using 0. 1, 0. 1, 0. 1, 0. 2, 0. 2 and 0. 3 with the heaviest weights applied to the most recent months. c) Exponential smoothing using an ? = 0. 3 and a September forecast of 18 d) A trend projection With the data given, which method would allow you to forecast next March sales? Q3. Income at the law firm Smith and Wesson for he period February to July was as follows Month Feb Mar Apr May June July Income 70. 0 68. 5 64. 8 71. 7 71. 3 72. 8 (a) Use trend-adjusted exponential smoothing to forecast the law firms Aug income.Assume that the initial forecast for February is $65000, and the initial trend adjustment is 0. The smoothing constant selected are ? =0. 1, and ? = 0. 2. (b) Resolve the problem with ? =0. 1, and ? = 0. 8. (c) Compute the MAD and MAP   E. Which forecasting, part (a) and part (b) performs better? Why? Q4. Attendance at Los Angeless newest Disneylike attraction, Vacation World, has been as follows  shadow/year 2007 2008 2009 Winter 73 65 89 Spring 104 82 146 Summer 168 124 205 Fall 74 52 98 Compute seasonal indices using all of the data.  
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